New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams Predictions – Super Bowl LIII – February 3 2019
The final stage is set. The New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams will…
Updated: March 12, 2023
Thanks everyone for checking out how to bet the Super Bowl.
I’m your host Sean Green from the Sports Gambling Podcast here to explain how to bet the Super Bowl.
I know what you’re thinking, Sean, I want to get in on the game, I want to bet the Super Bowl what do I do? What are some strategies?
We’re going to hit on those, a lot of people, sharps, you know, “Vegas experts” they’ll say, “Hey, remember it’s just one game, you gotta manage your bankroll, but let’s be honest, it’s the Super Bowl!”
There’s tons of betting opportunities and tons of ways to win cash and we’re going to go over them right now.
My first Super Bowl betting strategy is when in doubt, take the underdog.
In the past 18 years, the underdog is 12 and six against the spread, and it makes sense, right?
Because they’re good enough to get to the Super Bowl and yet you’re still giving them points!
Think about it.
Eli Manning won two Super Bowls.
How good was Eli Manning?
Not that good, but it’s a Super Bowl. Anything can happen. That’s why it’s exciting. That’s why we love the National Football League! And you’re getting free points on top of that?
So when in doubt, ride the trend and take the underdog.
My next tip on how to bet the Super Bowl, pay attention to the props, right? There’s a ton of props, pages and pages. You’re scrolling through. You’re figuring out, Oh, what am I going to do?
First off, never pay crazy juice on the coin toss.
Okay, if you’re paying -115 for heads, what are you doing?
You’re at a Super Bowl party. Just find your friend who wants to also bet 50 bucks to take the other side of the coin toss.
So don’t pay crazy juice on bets. You don’t have to.
Secondly, pay attention to the prop market because there’s two weeks that people can get all these crazy bets in and especially late.
There’s going to be a lot of action all over, cause it’s a Super Bowl.
They want to see scoring. They want to see yards. They want to see catches.
So pay attention if you like unders, hang around, wait for them to get bet up.
Wait for the people that arrive in Vegas, the 49ers fans, the Chiefs fans that are going there for the game, that they want to take the over up for their team to score and put up a ton of points.
When it comes to betting props in the Super Bowl, you want to bet on props where it’s not gonna matter which team wins the game, right?
So if you take Patrick Mahomes over passing yards, that could hit an a KC win, right? That makes sense they’re passing all over the field.
That could also hit in a San Francisco win Kansas City is playing from behind, also it’s Andy Reid, what are the odds he’s actually gonna run the ball?
Patrick Mahomes, ketchup boy actually trying to play catch up there and get back in the game. He’ll hit the over in the passing yards in a loss and in a win.
Now if you’re betting under Patrick Mahomes passing yards, you’re also kind of betting that San Francisco is going to win the game because what are the odds that he’s going to go under his passing yards and Kansas City is going to still win the game?
My next step when it comes to betting the Super Bowl, if you’re going to bet the MVP prop, lean on the quarterback, right? Because it’s the quarterback, right? It’s a quarterback driven league.
The media is voting for it. They’re gonna lean towards the quarterback. If it’s close, it’s going to go to the quarterback, right? Seven out of the last 10 years, it’s gone to the quarterback.The quarterback has won it 29 times.
Now, recently it’s been three and three, but especially if you like the underdog to win outright, you’re better taking the quarterback to win the MVP.
Because of the storyline. Oh my God. How did the giants defeat the Patriots?
How did the Eagles upset the Patriots?
Nick Foles. Joe Flacco. Drew Brees was even a dog when he won the Super Bowl MVP.
So if you like the underdog to win out, right? Why not get a little extra juice and bet the Super Bowl MVP instead.
My last tip when it comes to bed, the Super Bowl is fade the super high totals. 11 times in Super Bowl history, the total has been over 50 points and of those 11 times, seven times the under has hit.
And it makes sense.
Everyone’s coming together going, Oh my God, it’s going to be a shootout. It’s going to be so high scoring, and then what happens? The game’s a total dud and it makes sense, right?
It’s the Super Bowl once in a lifetime game that defines your legacy, whether you’re in or out of the Hall Of Fame, all comes down to this game.
It’s easy to choke. It’s easy to drop the ball. It’s easy to be a little off balance on your throw.
Fortune favors the bold when it comes to Super Bowl, but history favors the under when betting the total.
So remember when it comes to betting on the Super Bowl, lean dog, lean under, keep it safe.
When you’re doing the prop bets, don’t get out of control. Don’t bet the Gatorade color.