Bovada Expects Lamar Jackson to Use his Arm More, Legs Less in Week 12

Reading Time 11 Mins Categories NFL Betting Sites

Updated: August 20, 2025

  • What will Lamar Jackson have for an encore to first win?
  • Vegas believes Ravens pivot will likely throw more
  • Baltimore will likely to find balance for young QB

The oddsmakers have their hands full with Lamar Jackson.

Analysis of Lamar Jackson’s Historical Performance

Lamar Jackson made waves during his time at the University of Louisville. His electric play style caught national attention. He won the prestigious Heisman Trophy in 2016. Jackson showcased dual-threat skills with over 3,500 passing yards and 1,500 rushing yards. His move to the NFL brought excitement. Analysts eagerly anticipated his skills would fit the professional level.

After moonlighting in Baltimore’s specialty packages for the first 10 weeks of his NFL career, the Ravens turned the starting quarterback gig over to their prized draft pick due to an injury to Joe Flacco.

Joe Flacco’s hip injury opened up the opportunity for Lamar Jackson to take center stage. This incident happened during an important part of the season. It forced the Ravens to change from a traditional pocket-passing strategy. They embraced Jackson's mobility and fresh energy. The shift revived Baltimore’s play strategy with more vigor.

By all accounts, it was a success.

The hyper-athletic Jackson turned an ultra-conservative scheme into his own personal sandlot, with an unreal 27 carries for 117 yards rushing in his NFL debut.

That’s the most carries ever by a pivot in the Super Bowl era, and he looked good doing it.

For good measure, he also tossed the ball around too, as QBs are known to do, finishing with 150 yards passing.

Most importantly, Baltimore snapped an ugly three-game losing skid and moved into the six hole in the playoff battle in the AFC with a win over the Bengals.

Perhaps most notable was Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis’ assessment of Jackson’s day.

And so Bovada has waded into the waters, treading lightly on what Jackson will have in store against the Raiders this Sunday. They do expect Jackson and the Ravens to tone down the running … sort of.

Let’s break these down.

Vegas Betting Trends on Rookie QBs

Betting trends around rookie quarterbacks are always interesting. Historical data shows that rookie QBs face fluctuating odds as they adjust. Analysts observe early games closely to gauge potential and set betting lines. Rookies like Dak Prescott have outperformed expectations. Bettors pay close attention to emerging talents like Jackson.

Lamar Jackson Week 12 Props

Total Passing Attempts

Prop Odds at Bovada
Over 27 attempts -120
Under 27 attempts -120

Jackson had just 19 attempts the entire game in Week 11.

During Week 11, the Bengals’ defense put significant pressure on Jackson. This limited his passing opportunities. Despite this, Jackson showed poise and made decisive plays under pressure. The Ravens' use of the run game allowed Jackson to find passing lanes. The low attempt count reflected Cincinnati’s defensive resolve.

To put that in perspective, the only other starting QB to throw less than that in Week 11 was Blake Bortles.

2018 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
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Yes, that Blake Bortles. Even Blaine Gabbert and Jameis Winston, relieving the starters due to injury or ineffectiveness, still threw 16 passes apiece.

Perhaps the Ravens know that keeping their quarterback upright and healthy is going to be the key long term, which is why they’ve already said Jackson will be throwing more. Jackson himself said as much.

“Hopefully, I’m going to start throwing the ball more. The game plan is coming up. We’re going to be throwing the ball. They’re going to see.” – Lamar Jackson

Take the over.

Total Passing Yards

Prop Odds at Bovada
Over 190.5 yards -120
Under 190.5 yards -120

It stands to reason that more passes should equal more yards.

And that should be the thinking here as the Ravens take on the beleaguered Raiders, who can’t wait to get to the upcoming draft.

Oakland is third-worst in the league in surrendering points at 29.3 per game. Even though they’re just 16th in yards allowed per contest, that total is over 245 yards.

Take the over.

Total Rushing Attempts

Prop Odds at Bovada
Over 11.5 carries -130
Under 11.5 carries -110

The only thing we know for sure is that Jackson isn’t going to get 27 totes.

However, he is such an effective weapon when the pocket collapses or plays break down. Instinct alone has this total climbing to double digits, but it will barely fall short.

Take the under.

Total Rushing Yards

Prop Odds at Bovada
Over 57.5 yards -130
Under 57.5 yards -110

Ravens’ Offensive Strategy Adjustments

Baltimore's coaching staff, led by offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg, adapted their offensive playbook. They suited it to Jackson's unique skill set. By blending pass plays with exciting run options, the Ravens aimed to exploit defensive gaps and use Jackson's athleticism. This strategy kept defenses guessing. It showcased a more versatile and unpredictable offensive lineup each game.

That doesn’t mean that he won’t be a force when he does tuck it and go.

Again, opponent matters. The Raiders are leaking versus the run game, surrendering over 142 yards a contest, next to dead last in the NFL. Run safe, young man.

Take the over.

Total Pass & Rush TDs Combined

Prop Odds at Bovada
Over 1.5 TD -120
Under 1.5 TD -120

Tough one to calculate, because he was the engine that moved this offense against Cincinnati, only it didn’t register on the stat line.

His running backs feasted last game, but this time, expect Jackson to figure prominently into the scoring.

Take the over.

The post Bovada Expects Lamar Jackson to Use his Arm More, Legs Less in Week 12 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/expect-lamar-jackson-to-use-his-arm-more-legs-less-in-week-12/

Lamar Jackson's 2024 Achievements

In 2024, Lamar Jackson reached new heights in his career. He set personal records in several passing categories. He became the all-time leader in quarterback rushing yards. He tied the record for the most games with a perfect passer rating, having achieved this feat four times. This performance showed Jackson's growth as a versatile quarterback. It solidified his status in the league.

2024 Playoffs and MVP Honors

During the 2024 season, Jackson led the Ravens to their first AFC Championship Game since 2012. In the Divisional Round, he accounted for all four touchdowns in a victory against the Houston Texans. Despite falling short against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship, Jackson's contributions were clear. His efforts earned him a second MVP award. This was in a near-unanimous decision, affirming his impact in the league.

Lamar Jackson's Transition to Entertainment

Expanding his presence beyond the football field, Lamar Jackson appeared in the Starz crime drama series, Power Book III: Raising Kanan, in March 2025. His cameo as E-Tone marked a new venture into acting. It resonated with fans who appreciate his many talents. This appearance highlights Jackson's influence in sports and popular culture.

Andy
Andy
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