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Bovada Expects Lamar Jackson to Use his Arm More, Legs Less in Week 12
Updated: February 21, 2024
- What will Lamar Jackson have for an encore to first win?
- Vegas believes Ravens pivot will likely throw more
- Baltimore will likely to find balance for young QB
The oddsmakers have their hands full with Lamar Jackson.
After moonlighting in Baltimore’s specialty packages for the first 10 weeks of his NFL career, the Ravens turned the starting quarterback gig over to their prized draft pick due to an injury to Joe Flacco.
By all accounts, it was a success.
FINAL: @Lj_era8 and the @Ravens WIN! #CINvsBAL#RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/GRLqtaTXjY
— NFL (@NFL) November 18, 2018
The hyper-athletic Jackson turned an ultra-conservative scheme into his own personal sandlot, with an unreal 27 carries for 117 yards rushing in his NFL debut.
That’s the most carries ever by a pivot in the Super Bowl era, and he looked good doing it.
Lamar Jackson reached 15+ MPH on 14 rush attempts in his first career NFL start. No other player has reached 15+ MPH on more than 9 rush attempts in any game this season.#CINvsBAL #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/vVOofcSy1q
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 18, 2018
For good measure, he also tossed the ball around too, as QBs are known to do, finishing with 150 yards passing.
Most importantly, Baltimore snapped an ugly three-game losing skid and moved into the six hole in the playoff battle in the AFC with a win over the Bengals.
Perhaps most notable was Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis’ assessment of Jackson’s day.
File this under things I’d never thought I’d say: Marvin Lewis is right https://t.co/atuN2iNr5N
— Shneebs (@SZShneid) November 19, 2018
And so Bovada has waded into the waters, treading lightly on what Jackson will have in store against the Raiders this Sunday. They do expect Jackson and the Ravens to tone down the running … sort of.
Let’s break these down.
Lamar Jackson Week 12 Props
Total Passing Attempts
| Prop | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Over 27 attempts | -120 |
| Under 27 attempts | -120 |
Jackson had just 19 attempts the entire game in Week 11.
To put that in perspective, the only other starting QB to throw less than that in Week 11 was Blake Bortles.
2018 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
Yes, that Blake Bortles. Even Blaine Gabbert and Jameis Winston, relieving the starters due to injury or ineffectiveness, still threw 16 passes apiece.
My favorite play of the half by Lamar Jackson.
-Multiple reads.
-Efficient movement until truly threatened.
-Ball security.
-Sees pocket advantage and returns to being a thrower.
-More ball security.
-Finds open man and accurate throw.
-23-yard gain, FG range, 50-yarder. pic.twitter.com/4clk8SuHxd— Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) November 19, 2018
Perhaps the Ravens know that keeping their quarterback upright and healthy is going to be the key long term, which is why they’ve already said Jackson will be throwing more. Jackson himself said as much.
“Hopefully, I'm going to start throwing the ball more. The game plan is coming up. We're going to be throwing the ball. They're going to see.” – Lamar Jackson
Take the over.
Total Passing Yards
| Prop | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Over 190.5 yards | -120 |
| Under 190.5 yards | -120 |
It stands to reason that more passes should equal more yards.
And that should be the thinking here as the Ravens take on the beleaguered Raiders, who can’t wait to get to the upcoming draft.
Oakland is third-worst in the league in surrendering points at 29.3 per game. Even though they’re just 16th in yards allowed per contest, that total is over 245 yards.
Take the over.
Total Rushing Attempts
| Prop | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Over 11.5 carries | -130 |
| Under 11.5 carries | -110 |
The only thing we know for sure is that Jackson isn’t going to get 27 totes.
However, he is such an effective weapon when the pocket collapses or plays break down. Instinct alone has this total climbing to double digits, but it will barely fall short.
Take the under.
Lamar Jackson is the first quarterback to run for 100 yards in a game since Colin Kaepernick on November 27, 2016.
— Michael David Smith (@MichaelDavSmith) November 18, 2018
Total Rushing Yards
| Prop | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Over 57.5 yards | -130 |
| Under 57.5 yards | -110 |
That doesn’t mean that he won’t be a force when he does tuck it and go.
Again, opponent matters. The Raiders are leaking versus the run game, surrendering over 142 yards a contest, next to dead last in the NFL. Run safe, young man.
Take the over.
"Lamar Jackson is clearly not a thrower and should be a WR in the NFL"- Bill Polian
Surprisingly, now that every Rookie-QB has started, he has the best passing stats with Baker Mayfield.
Josh Allen is terrible. Josh Rosen & Sam Darnold are mediocre and struggling with turnovers. pic.twitter.com/ViFnTnNlv7— Jan (@Jan_07) November 23, 2018
Total Pass & Rush TDs Combined
| Prop | Odds at Bovada |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 TD | -120 |
| Under 1.5 TD | -120 |
Tough one to calculate, because he was the engine that moved this offense against Cincinnati, only it didn’t register on the stat line.
His running backs feasted last game, but this time, expect Jackson to figure prominently into the scoring.
Take the over.
The post Bovada Expects Lamar Jackson to Use his Arm More, Legs Less in Week 12 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/expect-lamar-jackson-to-use-his-arm-more-legs-less-in-week-12/
