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Week 16 Sunday Night Football Props: Chiefs vs Seahawks
Updated: September 22, 2023
- Patrick Mahomes brings his MVP showcase to the Pacific Northwest
- Seahawks battling for playoff spot in crowded NFC picture
- Finding three winning bets for you on Sunday Night
Wow, that was refreshing.
After being turned inside out for the past few weeks, we righted the ship in Week 15, banging all three prop bets between the Rams and Eagles.
We’ve found our swagger again, and we’re ready to end the final two weeks of the regular season run in style.
After scouring the lines, we’ve got some dandy long shots for you to take a stab at when the Chiefs visit the Seahawks on Sunday Night.
As always, if you’re looking for the full betting preview, see our Chiefs vs Seahawks Odds, Picks, and Predictions.
Prop #1: There will be a TD scored from close range
|Shortest TD distance Chiefs / Seahawks||Odds at|
|Over 1.5 yards||-105|
|Under 1.5 yards||-125|
*All odds taken 12/22
For all the long-range antics that Patrick Mahomes and company provide, it’s surprising to see that in their last three contests, there have been no less than six scores from the one yard line.
Damien Williams, who’s in for an injured Spencer Ware, who was in for a released Kareem Hunt, has been strong along the goal line, punching in four touchdowns inside the five.
Conversely, the defense has been generous as well, and they were awfully exposed in the crunch in a loss to the Chargers.
Seattle has punched it in from a yard out three times in four games too, on the back of running back Chris Carson, which brings us to our first tasty long shot.
Prop #2: Chris Carson will Gash the Chiefs Defense
|Will Chris Carson run for at least 97 yards?||Odds at|
Most ‘no way!’ stat this NFL season so far: the Chiefs defense has allowed just one 100-yard rusher all season. Yes, that Chiefs defense, that ranks dead last in defensive rush DVOA and 27th in total defensive DVOA.
Chris Carson REALLY wanted this TD ?
— Yahoo Sports NFL (@YahooSportsNFL) December 16, 2018
But KC has been spreading the rush love, as it seems every back on the opposition gets a taste. They’ve allowed over 120 yards team rushing in seven games, and prior to San Diego’s 119, they were gashed by the Ravens (194) and the Raiders (171).
The ‘Hawks lead the NFL in rushing at 154 a game. Carson has averaged just a shade under 110 yards a game the last two contests, and he’s picking up 4.5 yards per tote on the season. Bet on him having a big game.
Prop #3: Russell Wilson will compete with MVP-favorite Patrick Mahomes
|Will Russell Wilson Throw More TD Passes than Patrick Mahomes?||Odds at BetOnline|
Mahomes has almost as many TD passes on the road (28) as Wilson does the entire season (31). He’s also had just one game where he’s thrown for less than two TDs on the road. It was Week 4 on Monday night against the Broncos.
You're not stopping this @rolls_royce21.
TOUCHDOWN, @Broncos! #BroncosCountry #KCvsDEN
?: ESPN pic.twitter.com/KSIDetCGRd
— NFL (@NFL) October 2, 2018
While Mahomes shined in the end to secure a win, the Broncos used a steady run game and stifling defense to hold the high-powered Chiefs down most of the contest.
In Pat Mahomes' worst game as #Chiefs starter, he:
-Snaps #Broncos 38-game streak of not allowing 300-yard passer
– Scores first career rush TD
– Commits 0 turnovers
– Orchestrates 4th-quarter comeback on road vs division foe
– Improves to 5-0 as #Chiefs starter (4 wins on road)
— Evan Silva (@evansilva) October 2, 2018
The Hawks will offer as hostile an environment as Mile High, and they have allowed 30 points or more to a team at home once all season. The rest? 25 and under.
On Kendricks' sack – Frank Clark jumps the snap with one of the more ludicrous get-offs you'll see. Times the snap perfectly, exploding upfield with rare burst. Doesn't even need to use his hands or bend much at all to turn the corner on Tyron Smith. pic.twitter.com/CjNJeswSsL
— James Thomas (@JamesThomasHT) September 25, 2018
Mahomes may be the odds-on-favorite to win MVP, but he’s been a little ordinary the last two weeks. His four total TD passes is his lowest output since Weeks 4-5.
I like Russ Wilson at home, in prime time to go toe-to-toe with Mahomes.
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