Tyreek Hill & TY Hilton Are Co-Favorites to Lead Divisional Round in Receiving

January 10, 2019

Updated: July 18, 2024

  • TY Hilton and Tyreek Hill are favorites to lead the Divisional Round in receiving yards
  • On Wild Card Weekend, the top three receiving games came from players on a losing team
  • What players should you back this week?

If the defensive struggle that was Wild Card weekend wasn't your cup of tea, this weekend's Divisional Round should be more your speed.

The Philadelphia Eagles will visit the New Orleans Saints on the speedy track of the Superdome, the Los Angeles Rams welcome the Dallas Cowboys to the Coliseum, and Philip Rivers and the Chargers get another crack at Tom Brady's Patriots.

But oddsmakers seem to agree that a potential shootout between the Indianapolis Colts and the Kansas City Chiefs is where this week's receiving leaders will come from.

Odds to Record Most Receiving Yards During Divisional Round

PlayerTeamOdds to Record Most Rec Yds in Divisional Round at
Tyreek HillKC+250
TY HiltonIND+250
Brandin CooksLAR+700
Travis KelceKC+700
Keenan AllenLAC+800
Michael ThomasNO+800
Robert WoodsLAR+800
Amari CooperDAL+1200
Julian EdelmanNE+1200
Alshon JeffreyPHI+1500
Zach ErtzPHI+1600
Eric EbronIND+2500
Rob GronkowskiNE+2500

*Odds taken 08/01/19

Hilton was near the top of the odds board last week and mustered a solid 85 yards on five catches against the Texans, while playing essentially on one foot.

However, because the Colts never trailed in that game, he barely touched the ball in the second half.

Updated Super Bowl 53 Odds Tracker

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And that's something to keep in mind for this week: the three best receiving games last week all came in losing efforts.

Should Hill and Hilton Be favored?

This game could be a back and forth shootout, but considering Hilton is still not at 100 percent, I don't love him to be the week's best; especially when Indy should be attacking the Chiefs league-worst run defense.

Hill is a dynamic receiver in his own right, but the Colts did a great job containing DeAndre Hopkins last week even before he got hurt.

Hill will make a few plays, but with so may options in the Chiefs offense, taking him at +250 isn't good enough value. Three of his last five games he's gone under 75 yards.

Who Will Be Throwing Often?

I hate to be another one who questions Nick Foles' magic, but facing the biggest spread of the week and a Saints team that is undefeated at home in the playoffs in the Brees era, it's not unfathomable to think the Eagles will be trailing in the second half and need some scores. Granted, that's the situation he seems to love.

In order to complete any rally, he'll need to find playmakers and Alshon Jeffrey and Zack Ertz should be the beneficiaries. However, my favorite play of the week is the man who will be lining up against the Eagles.

Pick Against the Worst Secondary

Last week's winner was a bit of a surprise. At +2000, the Bears' Allen Robinson racked up 143 yards on 10 catches. And he did it mostly by torching Philly's Avonte Maddox on double moves.

Hmm… I wonder who else is a really crisp route runner that can put even the best corners on skates?

Let's hope this isn't one of them. Take Michael Thomas at +800 and maybe put a little down on Jeffrey and Ertz too.

The post Tyreek Hill & TY Hilton Are Co-Favorites to Lead Divisional Round in Receiving appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/hill-hilton-co-favorites-lead-2019-divisional-round-receiving/

Author Andy

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