After the National Football League released its 2017-2018 schedules last week, football fans get their first look at the slate of games that will take place this fall. While each team still has plenty of work to do this offseason, starting with the 2017 NFL Draft, we can already start to get a sense of which direction we should be leaning towards, when making nfl over under picks for each team’s win totals. Specifically, these teams have a very difficult slate of games this year. Thereby affecting any such win total:
NFL Over Under Picks – Take the Under on these Teams
Los Angeles Chargers
The fact that the now Los Angeles Chargers will be playing their home games in the StubHub Center, a 30,000-seat soccer stadium, already takes away a huge chunk of any home field advantage they might enjoy. To make matters worse, they’ll play a total of eight games against 2016 playoff teams (tied for the most of such games in the NFL).
The offseason has already been rather unkind to the Washington Redskins,. After the team’s front office underwent a messy divorce from (now former) General Manager Scot McCloughan. On top of that, the NFL schedule makers didn’t do them much of a favor, either. The Redskins make three separate trips to the west coast in 2017. Los Angeles (twice) and Seattle — each of them taking place in a different month. On top of that, Washington will host one of the NFL’s three Thanksgiving games. This despite having one of the worst home records for nationally televised games among all teams in the NFL.
The AFC West looks to have at least three teams vying for the playoffs this upcoming season. The Oakland Raiders being one of them. But they’re going to have to endure a brutal second half of the season if they want to return to the postseason. They take on New England in Week 11 (in Mexico City). Followed by back-to-back games against the Denver Broncos and New York Giants. Then travelling to Arrowhead Stadium to take on Kansas City. That’s far from an easily-winnable stretch of games.
September and early October can still be quite hot and muggy in South Florida. However that doesn’t look like something the players on the Miami Dolphins will have to worry much about. The Dolphins will play four road games in the first half of the schedule. One of their home games will also be played in London (in Week 4, against New Orleans). Considering the NFL has done away with the rule that teams playing in London no longer get the automatic bye week after said game, the Dolphins will come off a road game (against the New York Jets in Week 3), travel to London (thereby reducing rest and practice time), and return from London (again reducing rest and practice time) to host the New Orleans Saints in Week 5. That’s a brutal stretch of games.
New York Giants
According to SPN senior analytics specialist Brian Burke, the New York Giants got absolutely hosed by the league’s schedule makers. Playing an NFL-high four games against teams coming off their bye week. In total, the Giants will have a net total of minus-22 days of rest compared to their opponents. For comparison, the next-highest lack of rest days belongs to the Detroit Lions at minus-12. As if things weren’t hard enough already, the Giants have to open the season by playing in Dallas, against the defending NFC East champion Cowboys, too.