NFL Over Under Picks – Take the Under on these Teams
[su_spacer]Los Angeles Chargers
The fact that the now Los Angeles Chargers will be playing their home games in the StubHub Center, a 30,000-seat soccer stadium, already takes away a huge chunk of any home field advantage they might enjoy. To make matters worse, they’ll play a total of eight games against 2016 playoff teams (tied for the most of such games in the NFL).
Since the Los Angeles Chargers began playing at the SoFi Stadium in 2020, their home advantage has improved. Last season, they made the playoffs, propelled by standout performances from quarterbacks and a strong defense. The coaching staff remains consistent, focusing on strengthening strategies to face challenging games this year. Their recent achievements might slightly improve bettors’ confidence, but tough matchups still warn against taking the over on win totals.
Washington Redskins
The offseason has already been rather unkind to the Washington Redskins,. After the team’s front office underwent a messy divorce from (now former) General Manager Scot McCloughan. On top of that, the NFL schedule makers didn’t do them much of a favor, either. The Redskins make three separate trips to the west coast in 2017. Los Angeles (twice) and Seattle — each of them taking place in a different month. On top of that, Washington will host one of the NFL’s three Thanksgiving games. This despite having one of the worst home records for nationally televised games among all teams in the NFL.
The Washington Redskins officially changed their name to the Washington Commanders in 2022, marking a new era. Despite efforts to rebuild the roster with new talent, the team has faced setbacks with injuries and inconsistent play. Looking at their current schedule, they continue to face travel challenges, especially with games on both coasts. Betting on the under could be prudent given these hurdles.
Oakland Raiders
The AFC West looks to have at least three teams vying for the playoffs this upcoming season. The Oakland Raiders being one of them. But they’re going to have to endure a brutal second half of the season if they want to return to the postseason. They take on New England in Week 11 (in Mexico City). Followed by back-to-back games against the Denver Broncos and New York Giants. Then travelling to Arrowhead Stadium to take on Kansas City. That’s far from an easily-winnable stretch of games.
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Miami Dolphins
September and early October can still be quite hot and muggy in South Florida. However that doesn’t look like something the players on the Miami Dolphins will have to worry much about. The Dolphins will play four road games in the first half of the schedule. One of their home games will also be played in London (in Week 4, against New Orleans). Considering the NFL has done away with the rule that teams playing in London no longer get the automatic bye week after said game, the Dolphins will come off a road game (against the New York Jets in Week 3), travel to London (thereby reducing rest and practice time), and return from London (again reducing rest and practice time) to host the New Orleans Saints in Week 5. That’s a brutal stretch of games.
New York Giants
According to SPN senior analytics specialist Brian Burke, the New York Giants got absolutely hosed by the league’s schedule makers. Playing an NFL-high four games against teams coming off their bye week. In total, the Giants will have a net total of minus-22 days of rest compared to their opponents. For comparison, the next-highest lack of rest days belongs to the Detroit Lions at minus-12. As if things weren’t hard enough already, the Giants have to open the season by playing in Dallas, against the defending NFC East champion Cowboys, too.
The Giants have shown resilience in recent seasons, making progress with a revamped offensive line. However, they still struggle against high-ranking teams, especially those with rested players post-bye weeks. Key injuries also impact their line-up, further complicating their path to winning more games. Consequently, considering their demanding schedule, the under remains a safer bet for their current win total predictions.
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