Updated: September 26, 2025
- BetOnline opened with the Los Angeles Rams as 1-point favorites to win Super Bowl 53
- Heavy early wagering on the New England Patriots quickly moved the line to -1 in favor of the Patriots, and now -2
- The Patriots are 3-3 straight up as a Super Bowl favorite
You could say that wagering on the Super Bowl is steaming hot at BetOnline. The online sports betting site quickly opened the Los Angeles Rams as 1-point favorites to win Super Bowl 53 once Sunday's Conference Finals were completed.
Conference Finals Recap
The Conference Finals saw the Rams edge past the New Orleans Saints in a thrilling overtime game. The final score was 26-23. This match had a controversial no-call that left Saints fans upset.
Meanwhile, the Patriots triumphed over the Kansas City Chiefs with a 37-31 win. Their victory also came in overtime. The Chiefs' explosive fourth-quarter rally wasn't enough to stop Tom Brady's charge to the Super Bowl.
#SuperBowlLIII opener:
Rams -1 v Patriots— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) January 21, 2019
That's when the public shifted into gear and heavy early action on the Patriots caused a steam move that rapidly saw the line to change to minus-one in favor of New England.
Public Reaction to Betting Line Movement
Social media buzzed with reactions to the changing betting lines. Fans from both teams weighed in on the shifts. Many found the initial favoring of the Rams surprising, given the Patriots' long history of success.
Industry experts noted that the swing in lines was typical due to strong public support for the Patriots. Such movement often shows changing confidence from bettors who track team performance trends.
Shocker Part 2.
Patriots now favored by 1 and headed up.— Dave Mason (@DaveMasonBOL) January 21, 2019
And the Super Bowl odds movement has not stopped there. The Patriots are now 2-point favorites at BetOnline.
Super Bowl 53 Odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Point Spread | Total at BetOnline |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | -135 | -2 (-115) | O 58 (-105) |
| Los Angeles Rams | +115 | +2 (-105) | U 58 (-115) |
*All odds taken 1/21
Kickoff of Super Bowl 53 is scheduled for 6:30pm EST.
New England is just 3-3 straight up when favored to win the Super Bowl.
Historical trends show that betting lines shift as the big day approaches. This reflects factors like public opinion, expert predictions, and team changes. Past Super Bowls have shown that favorites don't always win, as underdogs often manage surprises.
These shifts link to changes in game preparations, injuries, and weather forecasts, making the betting scene quite unpredictable.
Should You Stand With The Pats?
The Patriots and the Super Bowl share a rich history. With a win in Super Bowl 53, New England (5-5) would join the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) as the teams with the most all-time Super Bowl victories.
Hello Super Bowl!@rbrex34 with the game-winner #EverythingWeGot pic.twitter.com/oyyzZ1WZkN
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) January 21, 2019
The history of the Patriots as Super Bowl favorites, though, is not nearly as impressive.
Last year in Super Bowl 52, the Patriots opened as a 6-point favorite over the Philadelphia Eagles, but the heavy action on this occasion went Philly's way, dropping the line to Eagles +4.5. It turned out to be the smart money when the Eagles won outright 41-33.
In fact, betting against the Patriots when they are favored to win the Super Bowl has historically proven to be a profitable decision. New England is 3-3 straight up when favored to win the Super Bowl and just 1-5 against the spread.
The New England Patriots have reached the NFL Super Bowl, by winning the coin toss and scoring a touchdown on the first possession in overtime. In 2017 we found winning the toss is worth a whopping 16 percentage points of win probability https://t.co/U8ywG2s81Y
— The Economist (@TheEconomist) January 21, 2019
The Patriots are 2-1-1 ATS as a Super Bowl underdog, and 2-0 both ATS and SU with Tom Brady at quarterback.
Impact of Venue on Super Bowl Outcome
The Mercedes-Benz Stadium's indoor setting might influence game strategies. Without weather issues, teams can focus on speed and accuracy in their play. This venue is known for hosting exciting matches because of its modern facilities.
The controlled environment might allow players to perform their best, possibly affecting the final score and betting outcomes.
Patriots-Rams Rematch
Super Bowl 53 will be contested 17 years to the day from when the Patriots and St. Louis Rams clashed in Super Bowl 36 at the Superdome in New Orleans.
Super Bowl 53 will also be played indoors at Atlanta's retractable roof Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Patriots-Rams. Same two franchises that played in the Super Bowl 17 years ago…when Tom Brady started the first of his NINE SBs…current Rams head coach Sean McVay started at quarterback for Marist HS in Georgia…and Rams QB Jared Goff was SEVEN YEARS OLD. pic.twitter.com/QqFFQID8n4
— John Giannone (@jaygeemsg) January 21, 2019
This will be the seventh Super Bowl rematch, a list that includes last year's Eagles-Patriots showdown. The Eagles, 24-21 losers to New England in Super Bowl 39, were just the second team to win a Super Bowl rematch after losing the first, joining the Washington Redskins.
The Redskins lost Super Bowl 7 to the Miami Dolphins 14-7 but beat the Dolphins 27-17 in Super Bowl 17.
The Steelers and Dallas Cowboys are the only teams to meet three times in the Super Bowl. Dallas lost the first two, but the third time was a charm for them.
Tom Brady had made just 14 career starts when the Patriots played the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI.
He had 2,843 career Pass yds and 18 Pass TD.
He now has 207 wins, more than 70,000 Pass yds and more than 500 TD to his name. pic.twitter.com/SkZrXrmuR6
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) January 21, 2019
The St. Louis Rams were 14-point favorites against the Patriots in Super Bowl 36, but New England won the game outright 20-17.
43 of 44 starters have retired since the Rams and Patriots met in Super Bowl XXXVI. Yep, there's only one starter who's still active: ? pic.twitter.com/SoYWJ66luw
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) January 21, 2019
The loss to the Eagles makes the Patriots 0-1 in Super Bowl rematches. Overall, including the two Steelers-Cowboys rematches, favorites are 4-3 straight up and 2-5 against the spread in Super Bowl rematch games.
The more the odds swing in New England's favor, the more the Rams look like the wise play.
Notable Player Performances for Both Teams
Player performances will be key in this matchup. For the Patriots, Tom Brady's experience and calm under pressure are expected to guide his team. Meanwhile, the Rams' Aaron Donald is a defensive force who could disrupt Brady's rhythm.
Both teams have strong offensive lines. Players like Todd Gurley for the Rams and Julian Edelman for the Patriots are poised to make big impacts. Each of these players could tip the scales in their team’s favor during this high-stakes match.
The post Public Hammers Patriots After Rams Open as 1-Point Favorites in Super Bowl 53 at BetOnline appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/public-hammers-patriots-after-rams-open-1-point-favorites-betonline/
