Updated: December 11, 2025
- The 2019 NFL Divisional Round continues Sunday
- MyBookie has released Daily Fantasy Sports O/Us for the 4 QBs in action
- Tom Brady performs significantly worse when pressured
The best weekend of the NFL season continues Sunday with two more games, and MyBookie has released another slate of fantasy betting props for us to dissect.
Impact of Weather on Performance
Winter games often bring weather challenges. Cold temperatures can affect player performance. This might impact how well players pass or their speed on the field. Be sure to consider weather when making DFS picks. Bad weather may lead to more running plays and lower scores.
Philip Rivers is feeling it pic.twitter.com/5v5cjQK5oK
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) January 6, 2019
Before we dive into the breakdown, let's go over MyBookie's scoring system:
- Pass Yds = 1 pt per 25 yds, Pass TD = 4 pts, Pass INT = -2 pts
- Rush Yds = 1 pt per 10 yds, Rush TD = 6 pts, Fumble = -2 pts
- Rec Yds = 1 pt per 10 yds, Rec TD = 6 pts, Rec = 1 pt
- 2-Point Conversion: 2 pts
- Decimals ≥ 0.5 round up, < 0.5 round down
Tom Brady O/U 17.5 Fantasy points
| Over/Under | Odds at MyBookie |
|---|---|
| Over 17.5 | -165 |
| Under 17.5 | +125 |
*All odds taken 1/13 It never feels good to bet against the GOAT, but Tom Brady has been dismal under pressure this season and the Chargers boast a ferocious pass rush.
Joey Bosa on the field, instant impact
(via @Chargers) pic.twitter.com/dmdRs3xDiX — Bleacher Report NFL (@BR_NFL) January 6, 2019
The Chargers' defense is good at pressuring quarterbacks. Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram have many sacks. They often force quick throws, leading to interceptions. This could greatly affect Brady's performance. When facing pressure, Brady's completion percentage dropped to just 45.3% and his QBR is a pedestrian 71.2. He has failed to reach 17.5 fantasy points in six of his last nine outings, and the Chargers have allowed the fourth fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. The Pick: UNDER 17.5 (-120)
Philip Rivers O/U 18.5 Fantasy points
DFS Strategy for Quarterbacks
When picking a quarterback in DFS, check their matchups. Look at stats and recent injuries. This can open up chances. Go for players in high-scoring games and those who run. Rushing adds points.
| Over/Under | Odds at MyBookie |
|---|---|
| Over 18.5 | +115 |
| Under 18.5 | -155 |
It's hard not to root for Philip Rivers, but unfortunately from a fantasy perspective he appears to be an easy fade.
Philip Rivers will forever be my mood pic.twitter.com/7jjWdvZIZ6
— WhoIsAdrian (@WhoIsAdrian2) January 6, 2019
Rivers has played in many playoff games. He brings experience and handles pressure well. His playoff history shows he can lead scoring drives. While sometimes inconsistent, he tends to be resilient in big games. This could affect DFS choices positively. Rivers has failed to reach 10 fantasy points in three straight outings and since Week 4, has more games with zero touchdown passes than he does with three. The Chargers play at the slowest pace in the league and the Patriots allow under 17 points per game at home this season. The Pick: UNDER 18.5 (-135)
Drew Brees O/U 21.5 Fantasy points
| Over/Under | Odds at MyBookie |
|---|---|
| Over 21.5 | -120 |
| Under 21.5 | -120 |
Drew Brees' home/road splits are insane.
Drew Brees had a 133.3 passer rating in the Superdome this year. That's the best home passer rating in NFL history https://t.co/uAJshoEZxE pic.twitter.com/6RfTePWTww
— ProFootballReference (@pfref) January 9, 2019
He averages 321.6 passing yards, three touchdowns and 25.24 fantasy points in the Superdome this season. He torched the Eagles for 31 fantasy points in Week 11, and has thrown 11 touchdowns in his last four home playoff games.
#TBT every Drew Brees playoff touchdown!#GoSaints pic.twitter.com/tcOkpFrw5g
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) January 10, 2019
Throw in a 29.5 implied team total and this seems like a lay-up to me. The Pick: OVER 21.5 (-120)
Nick Foles O/U 16.5 Fantasy points
| Over/Under | Odds at MyBookie |
|---|---|
| Over 16.5 | -175 |
| Under 16.5 | +135 |
On the other side of the ball, Nick Foles looks poised to shred his fantasy prop.
Want to know what the Saints are worried about? This Nick Foles stat. pic.twitter.com/71RJVcx9Sl
— Dianna Russini (@diannaESPN) January 13, 2019
Foles is completing over 73% of his passes in his last four games, with 79% of those throws travelling at least 12 yards downfield. He's thrown eight touchdowns in his last three contests, and faces a Saints defense that has allowed the fourth most passing yards this season. https://youtu.be/QqGTjWcla3U Foles has also been excellent in the playoffs, eclipsing 16.5 fantasy points in each of his last three postseason games. As 8.5-point underdogs, the Eagles will likely be playing catch-up, forcing Foles to air it out even more. The Pick: OVER 16.5 (-120)
The post NFL DFS 2019 Divisional Round (Sunday) – Fade Tom Brady appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/fantasy-football-dfs-2019-divisional-round-sunday/
