Michael Thomas Favored to Record Most Receiving Yards in Conference Championships

January 17, 2019

Updated: February 20, 2024

  • Michael Thomas should remain red-hot as the Saints take on the Rams
  • The Chiefs' top weapons should put up points vs the Patriots
  • Who is the best bet here?

If you enjoy offense, then you've come to the right Conference Championship weekend.

The Chiefs, Rams, Saints and Patriots should have scoreboard lightbulbs on alert in New Orleans and KC.

Which makes for a great side action prop from Bovada: who will pile up the most receiving yards this weekend? There are a bevy of candidates: five players are in the top 14 in the NFL in receiving yards this season.

While there is one clear favorite, let's see if we can't find you a sleeper for a big payout.

Odds for Most Receiving Yards in NFL Conference Championships

Which Player Will Have the Most Receiving Yards in the NFL Conference Championships?TeamOdds at
Bovada (01/16/19)
Michael ThomasSaints+200
Tyreek HillChiefs+225
Brandin CooksRams+600
Robert WoodsRams+600
Travis KelceChiefs+600
Julian EdelmanPatriots+850
Rob GronkowskiPatriots+1200
James WhitePatriots+1400
Josh ReynoldsRams+2000
Alvin KamaraSaints+2500

Elements Prime for Thomas to Break Out

There's probably no better place to start then with Michael Thomas, the odds-on-favorite, who just happened to lead the NFL in receptions this year with 125.

He's coming off a scorching weekend against the Eagles, who had no answer for what he brought to the table.

Now? He's up against a Rams team he just happened to light on fire in Week 9 in a 12-catch, 211-yard, one TD performance, punctuated with this dagger to seal the win.

What makes Thomas an extra appealing pick is that he's clearly the downfield option for the Saints. While Alvin Kamara is a threat any time he touches the ball, Brees knows that he can stretch the field confidently with his top target.

Don't Sleep on Chiefs' Top Targets

How can you? Tyreek Hill was a powder keg on every play, waiting to pop the top off the defense.

He had seven 100+ yard receiving games this year, and six times he averaged better than 20 yards a catch. New England saw him up close and personal, and he literally ran away from their defense.

His teammate, Travis Kelce, is perhaps the toughest cover in the NFL, part of the reason this duo led the league in receiving yards, combining for nearly 2,800.

If Kelce gets working on the intermediate routes in the middle of the field, he's capable of matching his season highs against the Raiders, where he went for 168 yards on 12 catches.

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Look to Patriots for Value Bets

Julian Edelman (+850) looked every part the Tom Brady target machine he was in his prime, finishing with nine grabs for 159 yards against the Chargers last week.

The deep sleeper has to be Rob Gronkowski (+1200). If the Patriots tight end is ever going to have a throwback performance, this is probably going to be his best shot. He's had his moments against KC in the past.

The Chiefs are 25th in Football Outsiders' defense of the tight end position, and teams fed that position with frequency all year, averaging 8.4 pass attempts per game to tight ends against KC, the second highest mark in the league.

If you're wondering why no Rams, let's just say Jared Goff hasn't been his usual self. But the last time Brandin Cooks did crack 100 yards receiving, it was against the Saints.

Who is the Best Bet?

Not jumping out on a limb here, but the safe money is between Thomas and Hill. The eye test probably will push me away from Gronk, but if you're looking for more value, I do like Edelman being heavily involved in the Pats attack.

The post Michael Thomas Favored to Record Most Receiving Yards in Conference Championships appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Original source: https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/nfl/michael-thomas-favored-record-most-receiving-yards-conference-championships/

Author Andy

Hi I'm Andy and as a regular bettor on sports I know where to spot a good sportsbook sign up deal. With over 25 years of placing wagers on horse racing and football I can lend my expertise to writing and advising you on everything sports and NFL betting. To your success.

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