Updated: December 11, 2025
🏈 NFL Betting Market Report – Week 11
Public Betting Trends, Opening Lines & Contra-Signals (from BetUS Sportsbook)
Updated: November 13, 2025
Each week, BetUS releases its NFL wagering sheet — showing where the public is betting, which games are taking the most action, and where sharp money may quietly be hiding.
Below is the full Week 11 market breakdown, featuring:
- Opening lines
- Spread %
- Moneyline %
- Total %
- Quick insights & contra-angles for bettors
This content updates weekly and helps you see how the betting market is moving BEFORE kickoff.
Week 11 NFL Public Betting Percentages (BetUS Data)
Arrows highlight the more heavily bet side in each market (spread, moneyline, total).
| Game | Opening Line | Spread % | Moneyline % | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins @ Commanders | MIA -2 / 47.5 | WAS 19.61% / MIA 80.39% ↑ | WAS 56.25% ↑ / MIA 43.75% | Over 66.67% ↑ / Under 33.33% |
| Bears @ Vikings | MIN -3 / 45.5 | CHI 36.50% / MIN 63.50% ↑ | CHI 51.43% ↑ / MIN 48.57% | Over 80.00% ↑ / Under 20.00% |
| Seahawks @ Rams | LAR -2.5 / 48 | SEA 53.28% ↑ / LAR 46.72% | SEA 72.34% ↑ / LAR 27.66% | Over 38.89% / Under 61.11% ↑ |
| Broncos @ Chiefs | KC -4 / 44.5 | DEN 36.05% / KC 63.95% ↑ | DEN 55.32% ↑ / KC 44.68% | Over 80.00% ↑ / Under 20.00% |
| Lions @ Eagles | PHI -1.5 / 49 | DET 58.26% ↑ / PHI 41.74% | DET 81.63% ↑ / PHI 18.37% | Over 25.71% / Under 74.29% ↑ |
| Raiders @ Cowboys | DAL -3.5 / 50 | LV 18.37% / DAL 81.63% ↑ | LV 20.00% / DAL 80.00% ↑ | Over 50.00% / Under 50.00% |
🔵 Sunday Morning Games
Miami Dolphins at Washington Commanders
Opening Line: Dolphins -2 (-110) / -135 ML / Total 47.5 (-110)
Public Betting:
| Market | Washington | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 19.61% | 80.39% |
| Moneyline | 56.25% | 43.75% |
| Total | 66.67% (Over) | 33.33% (Under) |
Market Insight:
Miami is a heavy public side at 80% spread, but Washington is getting 56% ML — interesting split. Sharps often take a dog’s ML when they think the spread is inefficient.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
Opening Line: Vikings -3 (-115) / -155 ML / Total 45.5
Public Betting:
| Market | Bears | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 36.50% | 63.50% |
| Moneyline | 51.43% | 48.57% |
| Total | 80.00% (Over) | 20.00% |
Market Insight:
The Over is extremely inflated (80% public) — usually a red flag. Late-week Under steam is common when this profile appears.
🟡 Sunday Afternoon Games
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Opening Line: Rams -2.5 / -145 ML / Total 48
Public Betting:
| Market | Seahawks | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 53.28% | 46.72% |
| Moneyline | 72.34% | 27.66% |
| Total | 38.89% | 61.11% |
Market Insight:
Seattle is a big ML public darling (72%) — on the road. Historically a bad signal.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Opening Line: Chiefs -4 / -210 ML / Total 44.5 (-115)
Public Betting:
| Market | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 36.05% | 63.95% |
| Moneyline | 55.32% | 44.68% |
| Total | 80.00% (Over) | 20.00% |
Market Insight:
Broncos getting 80% of total bets on a road total is wildly inflated.
Classic “public Over” spot → often closes lower.
🔴 Sunday Night Football
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles
Opening Line: Eagles -1.5 / -125 ML / Total 49
Public Betting:
| Market | Lions | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 58.26% | 41.74% |
| Moneyline | 81.63% | 18.37% |
| Total | 25.71% | 74.29% |
Market Insight:
This might be the most lopsided ML game of Week 11 — Lions at 82% ML.
If this pushes to Eagles +3 later in the week, sharps will buy Philly.
⚫ Monday Night Football
Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys
Opening Line: Cowboys -3.5 (+100) / -180 ML / Total 50
Public Betting:
| Market | Raiders | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 18.37% | 81.63% |
| Moneyline | 20.00% | 80.00% |
| Total | 50% | 50% |
Market Insight:
Cowboys are a monster public favorite — over 80% in two markets.
Potential overreaction spot if this jumps to -4.5 or -5.
🔥 Week 11 Quick Hits (At-a-Glance)
- Biggest public ML side: Lions (82%)
- Biggest public spread side: Cowboys (82%)
- Biggest public total side: Broncos Over (80%)
- Most interesting split: Dolphins spread (80%) but Commanders ML (56%)
- Most inflated Over: Bears/Vikings (80%)
💡 How to Use This Data
- Spread % helps identify public sides vs contrarian angles
- ML % reveals where sharps may be taking a stand
- Total % highlights inflation spots
- Opening lines help track movement vs market close
| Game | Opening Line | Spread % (Team 1) | Spread % (Team 2) | ML % (Team 1) | ML % (Team 2) | Total % (Team 1) | Total % (Team 2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins vs Commanders | MIA -2 / 47.5 | 19.61% | 80.39% | 56.25% | 43.75% | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| Bears vs Vikings | MIN -3 / 45.5 | 36.50% | 63.50% | 51.43% | 48.57% | 80.00% | 20.00% |
| Seahawks vs Rams | LAR -2.5 / 48 | 53.28% | 46.72% | 72.34% | 27.66% | 38.89% | 61.11% |
| Broncos vs Chiefs | KC -4 / 44.5 | 36.05% | 63.95% | 55.32% | 44.68% | 80.00% | 20.00% |
| Lions vs Eagles | PHI -1.5 / 49 | 58.26% | 41.74% | 81.63% | 18.37% | 25.71% | 74.29% |
| Raiders vs Cowboys | DAL -3.5 / 50 | 18.37% | 81.63% | 20.00% | 80.00% | 50.00% | 50.00% |
