Patriots vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 2 Odds, Analysis & Pick


When it comes time to bet on NFL games in any given week, we all pay attention to the trends and what has gone down in recent weeks on the field. Comparing teams SU and ATS is always a good starting point, but it’s also important that we pay attention to what is happening off the field, too, as that can have an impact. Prior to making a bet on a specific NFL game, check the injury reports to see if any key personnel are going to be missing. While a star receiver sitting out is often a major blow, a couple of linebackers sitting out could also have an impact on how a game plays out.


There is a lot to pay attention to in Foxboro right now, which always seems to be the case, as this is the week when we expect Antonio Brown to make his debut in Patriots colors against the Dolphins. Given the events of this week, it might be an idea to keep an eye on that situation. The Patriots are coming into this one as a heavy 19-point favorite, with the point total set at 47 ½.

Patriots vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 2 Odds, Analysis & Pick

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Weather Forecast

  • Scattered Thunderstorms: 32°C/90°F
  • Humidity: 70%
  • Precipitation: 50%
  • Cloud Cover: 58%
  • Wind: 11 mph SSW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the New England Patriots?

Every single season, we seem to look at the Patriots and claim that this will be the year when they finally hit the wall. There is talk of Brady’s age, players who have retired or moved on, and a whole host of other reasons why they are finally going to fall flat on their face. None of it ever happens, though, and if Week 1 is anything to go by, it’s not going to happen this year either.


The Patriots were as dominant as the score suggests, downing the Pittsburgh Steelers 33-3 in their season opener. The Patriots have not been as dominant against the Dolphins as you might expect, going 6-4 in their last 10, which included a loss in Miami last season. They are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 visits to Miami, although they have covered in their last 5 games overall.

Team Stats (Last 10 Games)

  • Score: 29.90
  • Rush Yards: 111.60
  • Pass Attempts: 37.30
  • Completion Percentage: 61.66
  • Passing Yards: 262.30
  • Total Yards: 373.9
  • Turnovers: 1.00

Why bet on the Miami Dolphins?

The expectation coming into the season is that the Dolphins are going to struggle. Their 59-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 would appear to suggest that struggle may not be an accurate description of what is about to come. Going back to last season, Miami has now lost 4 in a row and has only managed to pick up 3 wins in their last 10 games.

Patriots vs Dolphins should be an easy one for New England.


While the Fins do have a habit of covering the spread against the Patriots, it is worth noting that they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are also just 5-10 SU in their last 15 appearances in Week 2 of the season. The last 6 meetings between these two has seen the OVER his 4 times.

Team Stats (Last 10 Games)

  • Score: 19.60
  • Rush Yards: 95.50
  • Pass Attempts: 35.60
  • Completion Percentage: 65.45
  • Passing Yards: 240.30
  • Total Yards: 335.8
  • Turnovers: 1.80

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Patriots vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 2 Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games on the road
  • Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games played in September
  • Dolphins are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games played in week 2
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Sunday
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC East division

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Patriots vs Dolphins

I am looking at that point total and thinking that the Patriots might well be able to hit it all on their own. This looks like a thumping in the making, which is why I am taking the Patriots to win and cover.


Score: New England Patriots 49 – Miami Dolphins 10


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