The Indianapolis Colts were able to take down the Houston Texans this past Saturday, securing them a spot in the AFC Divisional Round against the Kansas City Chiefs, a team who’s taking advantage of their resting time and having the home field in their favor. Can the Colts pull another amazing win? Or will the Chiefs have an easy road towards the next round. Our online sportsbook has the latest NFL odds and expert pick for this year’s playoffs. So don’t waste anymore time and let’s get into the action!
Colts vs Chiefs AFC Divisional Round Odds & Game Preview
- Clear: 7°C/45°F
- Humidity: 59%
- Precipitation: 3%
- Wind: 5 mph NE
- Cloud Cover: 14%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On the Indianapolis Colts at +6?
Why should you consider betting on Andrew Luck and the Colts in this contest? Well, there are definitely a bunch of great reasons. First and foremost, Indy is clearly playing their best football of the season at just the right time. The Colts closed out the regular season by winning four straight and a blistering nine of their last 10 games overall. More importantly, the Colts have seen their defense steadily improve all season long.
That improved defense was in fully display in Indy’s surprisingly dominant 21-7 win over the Houston Texans in their AFC wild card clash against their AFC South division rivals on Saturday. Franchise quarterback Andrew Luck passed for 22 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the win while running back Marlon Mack continued his eye-opening play by rushing for 148 yards and one score on 24 carries.
“We know we have an elite quarterback and we can throw it for 400 and win when we have to,” Indianapolis coach Frank Reich said. “But the margin for error in playoff football when you try to do it that way is very thin. When you can win like this — running the football and stopping it — that’s just everything.”
Speaking of Luck, he is probably the best reason to back the Colts in this contest. Despite missing all of 2017 with a mysterious shoulder injury, Luck has played like an MVP candidate this season by passing for a stellar 4,593 yards and 39 touchdowns. Last but not least, the Colts are rock-solid on both sides of the ball in ranking fifth in scoring (27.1 ppg) and 10th in points allowed (21.5 ppg).
Colts are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Average Score For: 26.71
- Total Yards: 370.29
- Pass Yards: 275.47
- Rush Yards: 112.82
- Average Score Against: 20.65
- Total Yards: 338.41
- Pass Yards: 236.59
- Rush Yards: 101.82
Why Bet On the Kansas City Chiefs at -6?
Why should you consider betting on Patrick Mahomes and the explosive Kansas City Chiefs in this contest? Let me count the ways! First, the Chiefs are playing at home where they’ve gone 7-1 SU this season in always difficult Arrowhead Stadium. Then, there’s the fact that the Chiefs lead the league in scoring by averaging a stunning 35.3 points per game. Kansas City also has arguably the best quarterback in the game now in second-year signal-caller Patrick Mahomes.
The second-year signal-caller passed for a mind-boggling 5,097 yards while becoming just the third player in NFL history to throw 50 TD passes in a single season. Not only that,l but Mahomes has a bunch of talent at the skill positions. Starting with fleet-footed wide receiver Tyreek Hill and Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce. Last but not least, the Chiefs will have plenty of motivation to avoid the upset after getting off to a stellar 8-1 start through nine games, but suffering a trio of losses over their final six games. The Chiefs allow a generous 26.3 points per game defensively (24th).
- Average Score For: 35.31
- Total Yards:
- Pass Yards: 309.62
- Rush Yards: 115.94
- Average Score Against: 26.31
- Total Yards:
- Pass Yards: 273.12
- Rush Yards: 132.38
Colts vs Chiefs NFL Divisional Round Betting Trends
- Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 8 games
- Kansas City is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
- Kansas City is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction for Colts vs Chiefs
While 54 percent of public bettors are currently backing Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts to cover the chalk in this AFC divisional matchup, I’m going to advise you to back Kansas City to cover the chalk as a near touchdown favorite.
I know the Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings overall, but the vast majority of those ATS trends was compiled when Peyton Manning was playing for Indy, although Andrew Luck certainly isn’t chopped liver at the quarterback position. While the Road team in this series has gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, Kansas City is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win and a bankroll-boosting 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against their AFC counterparts.
Right now, the Colts are the popular pick after dominating Houston in their wild card opener, but they’ll find stopping Patrick Mahomes and the explosive Kansas City Chiefs far more difficult.
NFL Divisional Round Pick: Chiefs 28 Colts 21