Chiefs vs Chargers 2019 NFL Week 11 Spread & Pick for Monday Night

The NFL has experienced a couple of down years in terms of viewership and revenues, but they are seeing those numbers spike again this season. The quality of football that we have seen this season has certainly helped, especially with the selection of the primetime games. The matchups for the nationally televised games have been, for the most part, great, while the games themselves have lived up to the quality of the teams involved. As always, part of the NFLs plan to grow their audience and fan bas has included trips to different parts of the world. We saw a preseason game in Canada and a pair of regular season games in London, England.

This coming Monday, we will be back in Mexico City, a location that has proven to be problematic for the NFL, with last season’s game there cancelled due to the state of the field. Monday night is all systems go at this point, with the Kansas City Chiefs and LA Chargers set to locks horns in a crucial AFC matchup. The Kansas City Chiefs will head south of the border as a 4-point favorite. The point total or this one has been set at 52 ½.

Chiefs vs Chargers 2019 NFL Week 11 Spread & Pick for Monday Night

Patriots vs Eagles 2019 NFL Week 11 Lines & Game Preview

Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?

While the Kansas City Chiefs are leading the AFC West, their 6-4 record means that they are not entirely comfortable in their spot at the top. The Oakland Raiders are suddenly creeping closer, and a 2-4 run has them heading in the wrong direction. They did need to battle though a couple of games without Patrick Mahomes, but they also lost in his return game, with special teams errors leading to a 35-32 loss to the Tennessee Titans.

The Chiefs need to pull out of this funk before they get sucked back into Wild Card pack and a game against the Chargers might be the perfect tonic. KC is 9-1 SU in their last 10 meetings with the Chargers, plus they have also covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

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Team Stats

Offense

  • Points per Game: 28.40
  • Passing Yards: 313.60
  • Rushing Yards: 90.80
  • Yards per Play: 6.58

Defense

  • Points per Game: 23.90
  • Passing Yards: 221.40
  • Rushing Yards: 148.10
  • Yards per Play: 5.59

Why bet on the LA Chargers?

While the AFC Wild Card is not yet totally out of reach for the LA Chargers, it will almost certainly become that way if they fail to get a win on Monday night. LA comes into this one with a 4-6 record on the season, but they also come in with an offense that is struggling to get anything going at all.

They looked to be putting things right with back to back wins, but a loss to the Oakland Raiders basically has them one nail away from their coffin being closed for the year. Games versus conference foes have not been good for the Chargers, who are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus the AFC. In games versus divisional foes, the Chargers have seen the OVER hit in 10 of the last 13.

Team Stats

Offense

  • Points per Game: 20.70
  • Passing Yards: 270.10
  • Rushing Yards: 86.10
  • Yards per Play: 5.80

Defense

  • Points per Game: 19.40
  • Passing Yards: 207.80
  • Rushing Yards: 110.50
  • Yards per Play: 5.54

Chiefs vs Chargers NFL Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Chargers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games played in week 11
  • Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers’ last 7 games at home
  • Chiefs are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the AFC conference
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against LA Chargers
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games this season

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Chiefs vs Chargers

These are a pair of teams that have made a habit of shooting themselves in the foot this season. The Chiefs seem the better equipped of the two to right those wrongs, so I think they win and cover on Monday night.

Score: Kansas City Chiefs 30 – LA Chargers 13

 


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