New England Patriots vs New York Jets Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Betting Preview – Week 12 – November 25, 2018

The New England Patriots are looking to return in the win column after suffering a shocking loss to the Tennessee Titans in their last outing. The New York Jets, meanwhile, are just hoping that they can finally end their winless drought this coming Sunday at home against the defending AFC champions. The sportsbook favors the Pats by nearly double digits in this one.

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Betting Preview for the New England Patriots vs New York Jets Week 12 Game on November 25, 2018

Where: Metlife Stadium

When: Sunday, November 25, 2018, 1:00PM ET

Line: New England Patriots (-9.5) vs New York Jets (+9.5) – view all 2018 NFL lines

Betting Market Movement

Since the line opened, movement has been slight, indicating confidence in the Patriots' ability to cover the spread.

There has been some movement towards the Jets as a popular underdog pick, driven by their improved defensive stats. Betting trends show strong support for the Patriots, but savvy bettors are also watching for any indicators that could swing momentum toward the Jets.

TV Broadcast: CBS

Betting on the New England Patriots (7-3)

The Patriots need a pick-me-up win after getting crushed by the Tennessee Titans in Week 10 to the tune of a 34-10 score on the road. But if the Pats’ offense got choked by the Titans, it could expect plenty of breathing room this weekend against the Jets, who just allowed Buffalo Bills quarterback Matt Barkley look like a borderline future Hall of Famer in their last game. If Barkley could slice through the Jets’ defense, just imagine what Tom Brady could actually do against it. The Jets are 21st in the league with 25.4 points allowed per game – just the type Brady and company should be able to repeatedly drill holes to. Brady could also get his most dangerous weapon downfield back, with tight end Rob Gronkowski reportedly trending positively towards a return to action this weekend after missing the last two Pats games due to an injury.

Team Injury Reports

Both teams face injury challenges in Week 12. For the Patriots, tight end Rob Gronkowski is hopeful for a return, while linebacker Dont’a Hightower's status remains uncertain due to a knee issue.

The Jets are anxiously waiting on updates for quarterback Sam Darnold, who might continue to be sidelined with a foot injury. These injuries could significantly influence each team's strategy, particularly with the quarterbacks needing reliable targets and support.

The Patriots are 2-0 ATS in their last two road games. The over is also 2-0 in the team's last two trips away from Foxboro.

Betting on the New York Jets (3-7)

Jets head coach Todd Bowles should be feeling the heat of his seat, especially after an embarrassing 41-10 home loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 10 just before New York headed into a Week 11 bye. If the Jets are going to end their four-game skid this weekend, they will have to do it with veteran Josh McCown under center. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold’s status is still unclear due to a foot injury, which likely means that McCown will get the start again. Against the Bills, McCown played as though retirement is good option for him now, as he completed just 17 of 34 passes for 135 passing yards with two interceptions and without a touchdown. The Jets don’t have a lot of playmakers, but tight end Chris Herndon has proven he can put up solid performances of late. The rookie has three touchdowns over the Jets’ last five games. After New England allowed Titans tight end Jonnu Smith get 45 receiving yards and a touchdown on three catches and three targets in Week 10, Herndon could find the end zone again this weekend.

The Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against New England.

Historical Matchup Analysis

Historically, the Patriots have had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning 13 of the last 15 matchups. The Jets have struggled to overcome New England's consistent pressure and efficient offense.

However, each game presents new opportunities, and the Jets look to leverage any weaknesses they can find in the Patriots' current form.

Writer’s Prediction

New England wins, 34-21.

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Andy
Andy
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