- What QB matchups to exploit
- Fournette and Cook are back and look to continue making up for lost time
- After striking out on the rookie WRs in the bargin bin it’s time to change up the pace
Week 11 is here and it signifies stretch drive time.
With most fantasy pools’ regular seasons ending Week 13 or 14, owners are running out of chances to improve their squads heading into the playoffs.
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Read on to find my Top 20 QBs and Top 100 PPR Flex plays heading into Week 11.
If you’re looking to mix some fantasy football with more traditional wagers, head over to MyBookie where they have a “Fantasy Betting” option that will allow you to play over/unders on projected fantasy outputs for the week.
Week 11 Top 20 QBs
| Rank | Player (Team) | Opponent | Last Weeks Points | Points YTD | Current 2018 Position Rank | DFS Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pat Mahomes (KC) | @LAR | 20.1 | 263.8 | QB 1 | $7,100 |
| 2 | Jared Goff (LAR) | KC | 21 | 215.5 | QB 3 | $6,400 |
| 3 | Cam Newton (CAR) | @DET | 14.7 | 204.7 | QB 6 | $6,200 |
| 4 | Drew Brees (NO) | PHI | 28.9 | 208.9 | QB 4 | $6,500 |
| 5 | Matt Ryan (ATL) | DAL | 20.5 | 218.7 | QB 2 | $6,100 |
| 6 | Carson Wentz (PHI) | @NO | 21.1 | 139.8 | QB 20 | $6,300 |
| 7 | Andrew Luck (IND) | TEN | 21.2 | 193.1 | QB 8 | $5,900 |
| 8 | Aaron Rodgers (GB) | @SEA | 18.1 | 186.1 | QB 9 | $5,900 |
| 9 | Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) | @JAX | 35.8 | 201 | QB 5 | $5,800 |
| 10 | Mitch Trubisky (CHI) | MIN | 36 | 202.1 | QB 7 | $5,700 |
| 11 | Russell Wilson (SEA) | GB | 26.2 | 169.6 | QB 14 | $5,800 |
| 12 | Deshaun Watson (HOU) | @WAS | BYE | 178.4 | QB 10 | $5,700 |
| 13 | Philip Rivers (LAC) | DEN | 15 | 178.3 | QB 11 | $6,000 |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick (TB) | @NYG | 13.7 | 157.7 | QB 15 | $5,600 |
| 15 | Marcus Mariota (TEN) | @IND | 21.3 | 111.9 | QB 27 | $5,500 |
| 16 | Kirk Cousins (MIN) | @CHI | BYE | 171.4 | QB 13 | $5,600 |
| 17 | Eli Manning (NYG) | TB | 19.5 | 136.5 | QB 22 | $5,200 |
| 18 | Dak Prescott (DAL) | @ATL | 21.7 | 148.7 | QB 17 | $5,200 |
| 19 | Blake Bortles (JAX) | PIT | 21.6 | 152.5 | QB 16 | $5,100 |
| 20 | Matt Stafford (DET) | CAR | 15.9 | 143.3 | QB 19 | $5,400 |
Injury Updates and Their Impact
Noteworthy injuries this week involve Rams WR Cooper Kupp, who is out for the season with an ACL tear. His absence opens up more targets for Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks. They are now valuable fantasy assets. Falcons RB Devonta Freeman remains on injured reserve. This leaves Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith in key roles against Dallas.
These injuries shift the game plans for their teams and create new opportunities for fantasy owners looking to capitalize on available talent. Steelers RB James Conner recently entered concussion protocol and might be a game-time decision against Jacksonville. His potential absence or limited play could increase value for his backups. Fantasy managers should monitor final injury reports to adjust lineups accordingly.
Analysis of Recent Trades
Recent trades have shaken up the dynamics for a few teams. Amari Cooper now with the Cowboys had an instant impact. He helped stretch their offense and provided Dak Prescott a reliable target. Golden Tate’s move to the Eagles gives Carson Wentz an extra weapon. His impact is still unfolding.
These trades offer fresh options to consider for Week 11 lineups and could influence playoff positioning for their teams.
Mahomes and Goff Will Produce on Monday Night
At times Monday night can be a bit of an anticlimactic ending to a great weekend of football. Not this Week. Week 11 pits the season’s QB1 versus the QB3 in Mahomes versus Goff.
With a monstrous over/under sitting around 63, many fantasy owners fate will be decided in the last game of the week in a matchup that promises to be explosive.
Mahomes and Goff both head into the game with passer ratings over 110, and potent ground games to back them up. Even though the Rams lost emerging star WR Cooper Kupp for the season, both offenses have the firepower to make the scoreboard resemble the 4th of July.
When @PatrickMahomes5 and the @Chiefs offense are rolling, there’s nothing else like it.
Go inside the huddle with the MVP frontrunner during KC’s Week 10 win. #NFLMicdUp pic.twitter.com/HnROBLh4JC
— NFL (@NFL) November 15, 2018
Other potential Daily Fantasy matchups to exploit include, Cam Newton @ DET, Carson Wentz @ NO, and cheaper options Marcus Mariota @ IND and Eli Manning home to the dreadful Bucs.
Weather Conditions and Their Influence
Weather forecasts suggest mild conditions for most games. However, the Seahawks-Packers matchup in Seattle may face some light rain. This might slow down the passing game, making the ground attack more appealing. Meanwhile, snowy weather expected in Denver could affect the Chargers’ air raid. This puts more pressure onto Melvin Gordon to carry the offensive load.
In New England, the Patriots face the Titans, where cooler temperatures might influence Tom Brady’s long passing attempts. Additionally, the outdoor conditions in Cincinnati could impact the Bengals’ receiving corps, especially if winds pick up. Teams might rely more on their ground games, altering fantasy expectations.
Week 11 Top 100 PPR Flex Rankings
| Rank | Player (Team)(Pos Rank) | Opponent | Last Weeks Points | Points YTD | Current 2018 Position Rank | DFS Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Todd Gurley (LAR)(RB1) | KC | 25 | 285 | RB 1 | $9,600 |
| 2 | Saquon Barkley (NYG)(RB2) | TB | 14 | 217.6 | RB 4 | $8,700 |
| 3 | Alvin Kamara (NO)(RB3) | PHI | 26.2 | 244.9 | RB 2 | $8,200 |
| 4 | Melvin Gordon (LAC)(RB4) | DEN | 27.5 | 209.3 | RB 6 | $8,900 |
| 5 | Christian McCaffrey (CAR)(RB5) | @DET | 36.8 | 201.8 | RB 8 | $8,000 |
| 6 | Ezekiel Elliot (DAL)(RB6) | @ATL | 36.7 | 178.3 | RB 9 | $8,500 |
| 7 | Kareem Hunt (KC)(RB7) | @LAR | 11.6 | 210.1 | RB 5 | $8,100 |
| 8 | Michael Thomas (NO)(WR1) | @CHI | 27 | 211 | WR 2 | $8,800 |
| 9 | Odell Beckham Jr (NYG)(WR2) | TB | 23.3 | 179.9 | WR 8 | $8,400 |
| 10 | Tyreek Hill (KC)(WR3) | @LAR | 32.7 | 206.2 | WR 3 | $8,300 |
| 11 | Adam Thielen (MIN)(WR4) | @CHI | BYE | 214.7 | WR 1 | $8,200 |
| 12 | Davante Adams (GB)(WR5) | @SEA | 21.7 | 194.7 | WR 4 | $7,600 |
| 13 | Julio Jones (ATL)(WR6) | DAL | 23.7 | 182 | WR 7 | $8,500 |
| 14 | DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)(WR7) | @WAS | BYE | 191.7 | WR 5 | $7,900 |
| 15 | David Johnson (ARI)(RB8) | OAK | 37.3 | 153.5 | RB 10 | $7,500 |
| 16 | Leonard Fournette (JAX)(RB9) | PIT | 27.9 | 40.9 | RB 67 | $6,900 |
| 17 | James Conner (PIT)(RB10) | @JAX | 14.3 | 222.8 | RB 3 | $7,200 |
| 18 | Antonio Brown (PIT)(WR8) | @JAX | 21.6 | 186 | WR 6 | $7,800 |
| 19 | Brandin Cooks (LAR)(WR9) | KC | 26.9 | 164.8 | WR 10 | $7,400 |
| 20 | Keenan Allen (LAC)(WR10) | DEN | 17.7 | 139.1 | WR 17 | $6,700 |
| 21 | Travis Kelce (KC)(TE1) | @LAR | 10.6 | 171.7 | TE 2 | $6,500 |
| 22 | Robert Woods (LAR)(WR11) | KC | 14.6 | 167.3 | WR 9 | $7,100 |
| 23 | Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT)(WR12) | @JAX | 19.3 | 153.5 | WR 13 | $6,800 |
| 24 | Mike Evans (TB)(WR13) | @NYG | 8.1 | 155.7 | WR 12 | $7,300 |
| 25 | Emmanuel Sanders (DEN)(WR14) | @LAC | BYE | 160.5 | WR 11 | $6,200 |
Fournette Is Back to Bell-Cow Duties
In Fournettes’ first game action since Week 4, he put himself squarely back in the RB1 conversation.
If anyone was concerned about the Jags easing him back in, or his seat-warmer TJ Yeldon cutting into Fournettes workload, all worries were put to bed when the Jags fed their big back the ball 29 times.
Even with a game script that saw the Jags fall behind early, Fournette was still a huge part of the Jags offense. The result was 25.4 fantasy points.
In his Week 10 return, Leonard Fournette handled 80% of carries, saw all six red-zone RB touches, and was targeted five times on just 13 routes run.
Over his last eight fully healthy games, Fournette is averaging 25.1 touches. Todd Gurley leads NFL in touches (23.8 per game).
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) November 12, 2018
The Jags won’t fall behind as quick every week, but it’s comforting to know that even if they do, they have no reservations about grinding their big back into the ground. Potentially not good for Fournette’s long-term health, but great news for fantasy owners.
| Rank | Player (Team)(Pos Rank) | Opponent | Last Weeks Points | Points YTD | Current 2018 Position Rank | DFS Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Tarik Cohen (CHI)(RB11) | MIN | 16.4 | 132.5 | RB 12 | $5,200 |
| 27 | Dalvin Cook (MIN)(RB12) | @CHI | BYE | 42.4 | RB 64 | $5,600 |
| 28 | Zach Ertz (PHI)(TE2) | @NO | 40.5 | 183.9 | TE 1 | $6,600 |
| 29 | Stefon Diggs (MIN)(WR15) | @CHI | BYE | 146.3 | WR 16 | $6,900 |
| 30 | Alshon Jeffery (PHI)(WR16) | @NO | 8.8 | 95.9 | WR 44 | $6,300 |
| 31 | Aaron Jones (GB)(RB13) | @SEA | 32.2 | 90.3 | RB 34 | $5,700 |
| 32 | Tevin Coleman (ATL)(RB14) | DAL | 9.3 | 125.6 | RB 13 | $5,300 |
| 33 | Adrian Peterson (WAS)(RB15) | HOU | 8.9 | 124 | RB 14 | $5,500 |
| 34 | Joe Mixon (CIN)(RB16) | @BAL | 10.5 | 121.9 | RB 16 | $7,100 |
| 35 | Corey Davis (TEN)(WR17) | @IND | 25.5 | 113 | WR 29 | $5,600 |
| 36 | TY Hilton (IND)(WR18) | TEN | 10.7 | 96 | WR 43 | $6,100 |
| 37 | Kenny Golladay (DET)(WR19) | CAR | 19.8 | 123.9 | WR 23 | $5,800 |
| 38 | Greg Olsen (CAR)(TE3) | @DET | 8 | 65.8 | TE 17 | $5,000 |
| 39 | Phillip Lindsay (DEN)(RB17) | @LAC | BYE | 119.1 | RB 18 | $5,200 |
| 40 | Alex Collins (BAL)(RB18) | CIN | BYE | 100.8 | RB 24 | $4,400 |
| 41 | Dion Lewis (TEN)(RB19) | @IND | 8.8 | 111.6 | RB 21 | $4,800 |
| 42 | Kerryon Johnson (DET)(RB20) | CAR | 24.9 | 121.7 | RB 17 | $5,800 |
| 43 | Lamar Miller (HOU)(RB21) | @WAS | BYE | 92 | RB 32 | $4,600 |
| 44 | Marlon Mack (IND)(RB22) | TEN | 7.8 | 83.5 | RB 35 | $6,000 |
| 45 | Mark Ingram (NO)(RB23) | PHI | 25.2 | 67.5 | RB 45 | $4,700 |
| 46 | Jordan Howard (CHI)(RB24) | MIN | 4.2 | 95.8 | RB 27 | $4,300 |
| 47 | Chris Carson (SEA)(RB25) | GB | INJ | 75.7 | RB 40 | $4,400 |
| 48 | Sammy Watkins (KC)(WR20) | @LAR | INJ | 113.7 | WR 28 | $5,200 |
| 49 | Amari Cooper (OAK)(WR21) | @ATL | 13.5 | 87.2 | WR 54 | $5,400 |
| 50 | Marvin Jones (DET)(WR22) | CAR | 8.5 | 115.8 | WR 27 | $5,200 |
What to Expect From Rashaad Penny?
With the fantasy season winding down, Pete Carroll is doing us fantasy owners no favors. One minute we hear Chris Carson may be sent to the IR in need of hip surgery; the next minute we hear he could be starting in Week 11.
It’s a huge deal at this point of the season as the Seahawks own the league’s number one rushing attack. No matter who totes the rock for the Seahawks, it has led to fantasy success.
Chris Carson is my favorite of the group, as his overall skill set and power running fits what the Seahawks want to do. Mike Davis has done an admiral job filling in when Carson has missed time, and has found his own success as a similar player to Carson. He is a marginal downgrade but serviceable.
.@pennyhendrixx got game, that’s common cents. ?#SEAvsLAR pic.twitter.com/UOe0JHLEfs
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) November 11, 2018
Week 10 exposed us to the most physically talented of the Seahawks backs in rookie 1st-rounder Rashaad Penny. He pounded out 108 yards on only 12 attempts, showing off top notch explosiveness for his size.
But for what he has in physical ability, he lacks in an area that earns trust from his Seattle coaches. Carroll was quoted this week stating, “When everybody’s healthy not everybody’s going to get the ball.”
With Penny being buried on the bench for the majority of the season my bet is he regains the roll of spectating from the sidelines as Carson and Davis take the majority of the reps.
Chris Carson, D.J. Fluker full go, ready to start tonight vs Packers. But K.J. Wright is doubtful #Seahawks https://t.co/8fXnaTUCqu @thenewstribune
— Gregg Bell (@gbellseattle) November 15, 2018
Keep your eye on the inactives for tonight’s game as it would be tough to start Week 11 behind the 8 ball because Pete lied to us again.
Defensive Matchup Analysis
Defensive matchups this week present unique challenges. The Bears’ strong defense looks to stifle Cousins and the Vikings, limiting their passing opportunities. The Jaguars’ defense, despite recent struggles, still presents a formidable front against the Steelers’ run game.
The Ravens face an inconsistent Bengals team, creating a favorable situation for Baltimore’s defense, which has been strong against the run. The Saints’ secondary will be tested by Philly’s varied offensive schemes, where Zach Ertz may prove an important factor. Understanding these defensive landscapes can help fantasy managers make smart choices this week.
| Rank | Player (Team)(Pos Rank) | Opponent | Last Weeks Points | Points YTD | Current 2018 Position Rank | DFS Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | OJ Howard (TB)(TE4) | @NYG | 2.5 | 107.7 | TE 7 | $4,900 |
| 52 | Doug Martin (OAK)(RB26) | @ARI | 12.2 | 43.4 | RB 63 | $4,500 |
| 53 | Golden Tate (PHI)(WR23) | @NO | 3.9 | 121.8 | WR 24 | $5,500 |
| 54 | Allen Robinson (CHI)(WR24) | MIN | 31.3 | 96.8 | WR 42 | $5,700 |
| 55 | Tyler Boyd (CIN)(WR25) | @BAL | 9.5 | 150.8 | WR 14 | $7,000 |
| 56 | Sterling Shepard (NYG)(WR26) | TB | 11.6 | 119.8 | WR 25 | $5,300 |
| 57 | Calvin Ridley (ATL)(WR27) | DAL | 7 | 130.2 | WR 21 | $5,700 |
| 58 | Doug Baldwin (SEA)(WR28) | GB | 8.9 | 50.5 | WR 88 | $4,700 |
| 59 | Courtland Sutton (DEN)(WR29) | @LAC | BYE | 70.1 | WR 63 | $4,600 |
| 60 | John Brown (BAL)(WR30) | CIN | BYE | 118.5 | WR 26 | $5,900 |
| 61 | DeSean Jackson (TB)(WR31) | @NYG | 11.7 | 134.2 | WR 19 | $5,000 |
| 62 | Tyler Lockett (SEA)(WR32) | GB | 19.5 | 12 |